Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.026028 0.028024 0.030031 0.032198 0.034469 0.036775 0.039292
2025-12-28 0.022663 0.025830 0.029134 0.032825 0.036822 0.041007 0.045707
2026-01-04 0.020255 0.024096 0.028214 0.032929 0.038153 0.043737 0.050131
2026-01-11 0.018296 0.022592 0.027306 0.032817 0.039038 0.045801 0.053664
2026-01-18 0.017135 0.021846 0.027119 0.033391 0.040581 0.048502 0.057827
2026-01-25 0.015822 0.020810 0.026501 0.033382 0.041384 0.050311 0.060937
2026-02-01 0.014681 0.019891 0.025941 0.033368 0.042119 0.051993 0.063863
2026-02-08 0.013670 0.019056 0.025420 0.033343 0.042794 0.053568 0.066637
2026-02-15 0.012729 0.018248 0.024877 0.033245 0.043342 0.054965 0.069181
2026-02-22 0.011906 0.017538 0.024412 0.033200 0.043921 0.056372 0.071720
2026-03-01 0.011016 0.016691 0.023733 0.032856 0.044106 0.057289 0.073663
2026-03-08 0.010078 0.015730 0.022866 0.032236 0.043921 0.057738 0.075030
2026-03-15 0.009048 0.014624 0.021807 0.031385 0.043480 0.057925 0.076159
2026-03-22 0.008691 0.014419 0.021909 0.032009 0.044879 0.060363 0.080024
2026-03-29 0.008158 0.013938 0.021621 0.032111 0.045610 0.061977 0.082894
2026-04-05 0.007589 0.013371 0.021189 0.032001 0.046054 0.063227 0.085315
2026-04-12 0.007308 0.013201 0.021279 0.032565 0.047349 0.065526 0.089022
2026-04-19 0.006848 0.012740 0.020951 0.032556 0.047896 0.066888 0.091579
2026-04-26 0.006420 0.012303 0.020632 0.032542 0.048424 0.068218 0.094093
2026-05-03 0.006018 0.011882 0.020318 0.032518 0.048925 0.069508 0.096554
2026-05-10 0.005622 0.011447 0.019964 0.032421 0.049319 0.070654 0.098832
2026-05-17 0.005269 0.011057 0.019658 0.032377 0.049771 0.071867 0.101194
2026-05-24 0.004857 0.010547 0.019155 0.032039 0.049816 0.072549 0.102881